Roy Amara coined the phrase “We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.” Sweeping changes, transformations that fundamentally alter the way the world works, are easily discounted or ignored … even by us, the drivers of innovation.
It’s an uncommon person, even an active leader of change, who imagines a revolution in his or her own world. And yet, we innovators are not immune to disruptive change. Our art can be turned on its head just as easily as any other practice.
So, as a start to a new year, I’d like to explore three shifts that lie on the near horizon in the field of innovation for humanitarian aid and development. Each is exciting in its power to disrupt the disrupters in 2015.